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Ounces
November 2, 2011
12:24 pm
doc
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WTG has a market cap of about 210 million.  (300 million shares at $0.7)

 

The first quarter combined production (CMM + WTG) = 10792

The second quarter combined production (CMM + WTG) = 10751

Total First Half ounces = 21,543

 

WTG will probably file November 15 (Based on their previous filings)

 

I would guess 12-15K ounces in the third quarter…

4350 San Juan

2650 Savkino

5000-8000 Lamaque (Obvious wild card here)

 

The real question is…what will per ounce costs be.

I'm sure costs associated with business combination will be extraordinary.

Don't think there will be a market upside boost on this filing.

November 2, 2011
2:25 pm
doc
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Don't know what's going on with liquidity…appears to be some effort to keep the SP at 70 cents…why?….Finskiy's name is mud at the moment.  Does he care?  Does he personally want to make money – or is he merely an agent for resources takeover and gets paid regardless of SP.  If true, then SP is meaningless.  There is no incentive to create value.  This appears to be what we have experience so far. 

The latest PR by WTG was a little strange, as December3 points out on SH – the newly hired staff at Lamaque not exactly well known locals – and have questionable directly relevant experience. 

WTG could easily spin the upcoming quarterlies to be good or bad.  What will they do?  I think this will be an indicator of where they want to go and how they will do it.

I know they *say* they aim to be a near term 100K producer, mid term 250K producer and long term 500K producer. 

SP should be at $2 – $2.5 based on the ounces they are mining (hence why I posted about ounces)…to get people thinking about it.

If they show a string of quarters that demonstrate they mean what they say – analysts and brokers will forget about how WTG got to be how it is and join in…

November 2, 2011
8:28 pm
nt300
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DOC, they promised us that this merger was a good thing and something that "WILL" make the company stronger along with increasing shareholder value.

 

I know for a fact a company can make a lot more money being public then in private. If they can get proper advertising in order it would attract more investors helping the SP climb higher.

 

But like many have already said, look what Century's BOD did to ram this merger through. Well they got what they wanted, now get us what we want and that is promised aggressive PRODUCTION and build us VALUE. 

November 3, 2011
3:30 am
FREDERICTON
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Here's how I simplify the situation (for myself).  The only time that the share price matters is when Finskiy & Associates want to go to the market to raise capital.  Obviously, a $2.00 share price gets the cash in and doesn't give as much of the company away in the process.

However, if Finskiy & Assoc. already have lots of cash or access to it, they don't need or care about the market, the share price doesn't matter….. so what does matter?

                            Control of the Asset

 

To hell with the share price.  He controls the asset, he mines the gold, he makes the profit.

But the value of the asset is the collateral for future Finskiy activities.  And the collateral value is not the share price …….its the gold in the asset.  The share price could sit at 3 cents/share forever ….. but he'd put up a $15,000,000,000 asset as collateral

                  It's not the share price that matters……. its the Control

November 3, 2011
6:40 pm
Wingfong
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Doc said.."The latest PR by WTG was a little strange, as December3 points out on SH—the newly hired staff at Lamarque not exactly well known locals–and have questionable directly relevent experience."

 

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

 

Reread the NR over and over again. On the assumation the credentials and qualifications of the 3 staff hired are correct, I still find it hard to accept the assertion that they have questionable directly relevent experience. On the contrary I believe they are the the right plugs for the right holes types and yes they may not be well known locals but  does it really matter who does the job as long as the expected results are achieved? and by the way had not CMM hired locals all the time in the past years? and the result? I have a positive feel for these three professionals and must say the identified works to be done near term plus the whole tone of the NR gives me the impression that they are serious about mining and getting the gold finally. I read the last few days' price/volume action of WTG as positive. One just cannot ignore the continuous showing of those high volume+price rise days. Have a feeling stocks are passing over from the weak hands to the stronger ones. I hope I am right.

November 3, 2011
7:14 pm
doc
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Further ounce considerations (sorry for the lack of editing)

Savkino states in the gold project article:

The mine produced 3,231oz of gold by the second quarter of 2011 and is anticipated to produce 21,000oz of gold in 2011.

Are these guys serious? Sedar MD&A shows:

Gold production in the three and six months ended June 30, 2011 amounted to 2,638 and 3,231 ounces, respectively

Specifically;

593 Q1, and;

2638 Q2

 

Obviously Q1 2011 was a bit of a disaster.

 

In 2010 they produced 16,000 ounces. Their 21,000 projection suggests 17769 ounces in the second half. This is a marked

uptick in production for Savkino.

 

San Juan did 19,200 in 2010.

San Juan guidance remains at 20,000-24,000 ounces for 2011.

They did 8,735 in the first half of 2011.

 

Lamaque guidance remains at 45,000-50,000 ounces for 2011.

Lamaque has done 9,557 ounces during the first half of 2011.

 

All three mines combined…based on their maintained guidance equate to: Savinko = 21K

San Juan = 20K-24K

Lamaque = 45K-50K

Total 2011 guidance (86K-95K)

 

As at first half we are 3231+8735+9557 = 21,523 ounces

 

Their maintained guidance suggests that they would need to do 65,000 ounces in the second half.

November 3, 2011
10:34 pm
Carib
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Hi Wingfong,

Thanks for your post.  It's good to hear from someone with an optimistic view.  I agree with you;  I think we as a group continue to be our own worst enemies and keep imagining the worst from massive dilutive financings to a merger with Zaruma when they is little to support those theories.  According to some, we were going to be in the single digits in November. 

If we were going to be a takeover target, the parade of bad news would continue to drive the share price lower.  The $10 million line of credit would be replaced by massive dilution at lower share prices.  There wouldn't be new hires of very capable mining personnel.

Expectations are very low right now but I'm expecting good Q3 numbers from Savkino, San Juan and even Lamaque.  I think the smart money is buying and shares continue to shift from weak retail hands to strong hands, because of unfounded fears of another merger or takeover and/or massive dilution from more PP"s.  I don't see that happening.

November 4, 2011
12:16 pm
doc
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Don't get me wrong guys…I'm positive about things…December3 was the only one that bothered to demonstrate an analysis of these guys' credentials…so I referred to his post to see what other people thought.  I'm glad Wingfong and Carib think otherwise about these credentials.  

 

I certainly think there is a lot of potential…which is why I've been trying to outline the resources that WTG now has.  I was surprised a little about Savkino…They appear to be similar to San Juan in gold contribution.  I'm a little skeptical about the 2011 guidance of 86K-95K ounces…but I do believe that they are getting serious about mining now.  If they do so; I can easily see 120K ounces for 2012.  

November 4, 2011
1:03 pm
bigjohn37
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Labradorguy, this post is directed to you (hopefully, you are still with us!). What do you think of the "new blood", (i.e. the three professionals, recently brought into the Lamaque operation)? You probably know these guys personally. How do you see the production unfolding at Lamaque? Recent movement of the shareprice seems to be anticipating "good news". Thanks in advance for your comments!Wink

November 4, 2011
2:23 pm
December3
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Thanks doc for posting about my comments on SH.  I recall back when Mr. Major was hired and everyone took a look at his credentials in his announcement NR and all pretty much agreed he was the right man for the job – well qualified.  See how well that worked out?  I thought Hulley was doing a better job of running CMM.

Anyway, reading those "resumes" reminds me of the days working in consulting and writing resumes for proposals….when the boss said, have you ever looked over the shoulder of a guy working on AutoCadd?  Well then you have Cadd experience – put it on your resume!

The best mining resumes say what the guy accomplished while he was at a particular job, not that he had some title. 

If these guys are highly qualified then Joanna Longo did no one any good service with her writing of the press release.  Actually the lack of details and accomplishments suggests she was doing the best she could to fluff up resumes of barely qualified guys.

My point is that hope springs eternal and if one thinks along those lines then these guys are probably a great fit.

- fool me once shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me.

December3

November 4, 2011
3:31 pm
nt300
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bigjohn37 said:

Labradorguy, this post is directed to you (hopefully, you are still with us!). What do you think of the "new blood", (i.e. the three professionals, recently brought into the Lamaque operation)? You probably know these guys personally. How do you see the production unfolding at Lamaque? Recent movement of the shareprice seems to be anticipating "good news". Thanks in advance for your comments!Wink

Well who ever these guys are it help boost the SP upwards. Hopefully our good friend Lab Guy can comment on these individuals Smile 

November 4, 2011
9:19 pm
dave peters
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Why are people assuming that Labradorguy might know these guys? This seems to me to be quite the stretch.

This reminds me of those very bad racist jokes, that every black or mexican or any other minority group automatically knows everyone else in same group.

November 4, 2011
10:19 pm
bigjohn37
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DP, if you read Labradorguy's pas posts, you'd know that he is a consulting geologist/mining engineer. He did consulting work for Century in the past, and seems to travel a lot. So it's reasonable to assume that he may know one or more of the professionals who were recently hired by WTG. That aside, I said: "you probably know these guys personally". If that's too much of a stretch for you, I am sorry.

November 5, 2011
9:21 am
dave peters
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Yes, in his very first post here he described himself as a "mining engineer and geologist" with experience on several continents. If he ever posted that he did consulting work for Century, I must have missed it (though I looked just now and could not find it).

November 6, 2011
2:43 am
Wingfong
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     Having experienced their tactics over the merger issue in the last 6 months, it is perfectly normal for investors to hold a less than positive view on the persons behind the schemes and what WTG had put out via its recent NR.

 

     It is survival reflexion for any one to be scared by the shadow of a piece of rope after having been bitten by a snake. I, for one, had gone tro that but I have decided to shake off the phobia.

 

    Going back to basics and digesting all recent events, I have come to a more positive view with regard to the valuation of WTG and needless to say, the potential value of my cmm/wtg investment going forwward.

 

    In summary my considerations are as follows:-

 

1) Now that Max already owns 40%+, he should be satisfied. Together with those closed to him, pretty sure their combined block  exceeds 50% of total shares so he has no fear of losing control in any event.

 

2) With Max purported  to have sunked in $80 million in total. It is time to show supporters  and the silent investors behing him that from now on, they will see the Co turning cash-flow positive and profitable (to hugely profitable?). It is not logical for them to continue to pump in more cash with nothing positive to show in return.

 

3) Quite recently, Max was on stage in the PDAC seemingly wanting to be seen among the gold minining super achievers/achievers. To support this public image of his, I believe he must have a money-spinning mine or mines as something to cock about. It is simply disastrous for him if he is seen to be a loser operating some money-losing outfits or worst, be seen to be the proverbal liar standing beside a huge hole in the ground called a mine.

 

4) Besides repaying the DB loan, covering costs etc, it must be more palatable to have a good showing of the SP whereby he may even use it as currency for further acquisitions!

 

5) Even though he won this round, have a feeling we Vote-No shareholders had directed some spot lights of the wrong kind onto him and it may be something he would prefer to avoid. Remember he was on BNN for a lengthy showing but Schimke's subsequent  slot for rebuttal was suspiciously cut short to 2 min.

 

6) Believe at the right time, the slashed NI43-101 will be updated back to the original figures and perhaps have more to show too!?

 

7) From the new CMM/WTG website and the recent NR, I believe they have flashed out a strong real intention and specific mining plans + beef up of key operation personnels to get to the Flats, NW and BD mining fronts and further indicating the  intention to up the mill rate to 2000tpd come Q1 2012.

 

8) Of the 3 key personnels just hired, I note with particular interest Rainer's stood in as Lead Adviser of the Afganistan Government's US$54 Billion Aynak Copper Mine Development Agreement negotiation and as Director In Charge of the restarting of the mining sector in Kosovo after the war. I am inclined to think he must have certain demonstrated capabilities and credentials in trustwortyness to be able to be nominated/accepted in these high level governmental positions. As such I draw 2 conclusions:-

 

  a)he will not join this private smallish (at least for now) CMM/WTG outfit if he does not think it is an interesting doable project of certain magnitude.

 

b)with his status, believe he is not likely be one who will callouse and dance to the tune played by Max. I strongly believe he is coming in for some strong solid actions in building up the mines and his reputation along  with it (presume of course he will make his money too). Who knows, he may have been brought in tro heavy persuasions/influence from powerful places just so to repair the bad names of Max and DM?

 

    Lastly, having unloaded much from my chest, I am not saying that Max is doing all these for the love of shareholders. It may be true he does not even care much about we retailers but it really does not matter. My take is that now that he is secured in his control of the Co, he will go all out to make the mines work and turn them into some money-spinning outfits–and should it in turn (it should be) cause the SP to rise, it is good enough for me.

 

    I may be partially right or entirely wrong but honestly I sense a certain positive mood in the air lately and I sure  hope I am right.

 

 

November 6, 2011
5:03 pm
paliman
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Wingfong i see things the same way as you describe. Finsiky must have convinced some big investors about his plan to get the votes he did and now is time to put up. So i am in for now too. I can certainly see / feel a rise in the share price in the immediate future to the 1.00 -1.50 range just to reflect what we thought we had prior WTG. This is just my humble opinion things may or may not pan out, that's investing. I don't now why with all that the Finsky put me/us through but, i feel that this may just work out. I wait to see.

November 7, 2011
2:25 am
FREDERICTON
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Paliman…. I agree with what you say about the "stupidity" that Finskiy and Major put us through.  There is the possibility also that in punching above our weight we brought some of the distress onto ourselves but, clearly, Finskiy & Assoc. do not have the class that is evident in the big name players…..they'll learn…..we have to hope.

A comment on your suggested price range….. here is the guiding yardstick that I am using for myself.  When Peggy Kent was at the helm…. CMM reached .83 and was poised to go higher.   .83 CMM equates to $2.07 WTG.   So in my mental currency,  1 Peggy = $2.07.  Right now 1 Danny = .87.  Therefore …..

                            1 Peggy = 2.4 Danny's

Obviously he has some catching up to do and if I reflect back when CMM could have reached $1.50 on its own then….

                            1 Peggy = 4.3 Danny's

Major still has a lot of work to do before we CMM diehards will start to forgive his shenanigans.  I think that overall Major is capable and they have the financial where with all to change our sentiments.

I do have a bad taste in my mouth when I see WTG on my portfolio statement but near term performance that they owe us could help me to get on side.

November 7, 2011
9:03 am
PayDay
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 1 Peggy = 4.3 Danny's

 

Peggy Kent at least put her money where her mouth was  and OWNED CMM SHARES…not like that Fink-brownoser Dan Major who hasn't invested ONE dime of his own money into CMM all the while selling minority shareholders up the river!

 

For all of his blustering about this "value added" business combo – where was his private purchase of Century Mining shares in support of the merge?  He owned ZERO shares when he come on board and owned ZERO shares 10 months later  when the merge happened.

 

In light of this  fact, I give 1 Peggy = 10 Dan Majors

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